The Green revolution in Iran has had an unintended consequence: The Iranian nuclear program. As a result of political pressure in Iran, the Ahmadinejad regime cannot afford economic sanctions due to their lack of cooperation with America and the UN. As a result, we currently have an opportunity to pressure the Iranian regime into changing its ways when it comes to their nuclear arms program.
But this is not a situation that the American government has created. Instead, the political pressure is coming from the Iranian people, mainly its youth. Further economic sanctions would primarily hurt the poor, many of whom are already in the streets. But would also severely impact Iran’s growing middle class, many of whom have not joined the demonstrators because they have more to lose. Instead of Iran’s nuclear program bolstering the strength of its government, the program could eventually lead to its toppling.
This scenario, however, won’t happen by itself. It will require Obama to make this a priority, and he’s going to need Russian and Chinese help to do it. A unilateral President would fail to do this (W.hoever that might have been), and it will require America to make concessions. Does Obama have the guts to repeal his tire tariffs or threaten to reinstate Bush’s idea of missile defense in Eastern Europe? Can he make the other super powers partners, instead of adversaries (or, as Bush did, spectators). I’m not sure, but he will have to stand up to American unions and a liberal base to make it happen.
Why is this important? The Iranian government, as it stands, as little to no interest in pleasing America. Why should they? But arguably our biggest threat to our national security is Ahmadinejad, and right now the Iranian people are in a place to be our allies against their own government. They need our support, and we need theirs.
IN OTHER NEWS: The Empire State Building goes green to celebrate green technology and the Wizard of Oz. Interestingly enough, it coincides with the arrival of Ahmadinejad in New York. Hopefully Obama looks to the Skyline for answers.
Posted in Iran