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June 02, 2010

Time to Evolve

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With all the complicated news out of Iran, and Israel, and Gaza, I wanted to provide a quick, deep thought on the state of the Middle East and the world:

Government is a social construct, one that has undergone many interesting evolutionary phases over the course of human events. Before it had a name, there was government, the rules by which small groups of largely nomadic people organized themselves in order to become more efficient and prosper. In a saber-tooth-tiger-eat-dog world, the importance was on survival and competition. It was in each human’s best interest to work well with a cohesive group in order to win the fight for food, water, and viable mates.

Then we evolved. As society became centered around agriculture, it became necessary to protect and provide for sedentary populations. Government, then, became about protecting land from external threats. As societies grew, then securing trade and external resources also became important. Successful governments, then, were the ones who best secured prosperity for their people through the defeating of external threats, the securing of allies, and the expansion of power. These ends could be reached with diplomacy, economic prowess, the cultivation of culture and innovation, or sometimes military force.

Those of us living in one of the major powers in the world are also living examples of the “missing link” between an ancient evolutionary form and the “modern” human. We are witnessing a unique period of peace between the largest and most powerful nations. Europe has not seen a major war since 1945. America has not engaged in conflict, even indirectly, with a world superpower since the end of the Vietnam conflict (for those of you who might think I am dismissing later conflicts, this is not my intention so please read on). If we were watching the world from space, what we would see is an unprecedented era of peace, the result of empowered states no longer needing war to keep their power.

And yet, we all know that this would not be an accurate vision of reality. We know that injustice, inequality, famine and war still fester in many regions of the world. We know that hundreds of years of imperialism has left some empowered while it has left others virtually, or literally, enslaved.

I believe that fixing these problems should be an end in and of itself, but it is easy to argue that, for selfish reasons, the world superpowers need to rethink their models of foreign policy and the role of their governments, because they’re antiquated, ineffective, and making the world less safe.

Since the fall of the Berlin Wall, or perhaps even before, the greatest threat to the national security of the United States hasn’t been a foreign power, but rather global destabilization stemming from power imbalance. For most Americans, it took 9/11 for them to realize that terrorism was a significant threat, but the lesson not learned from that tragedy is the way that radical ideas can be combated through societal change before they reach that point.  Though many doubt the hype surrounding bugbears like terrorists with WMD, one need only look at the economic damage that 9/11 spawned, the human and economic cost of waging a “war on terror,” or the loss of a military deterrent against the most caustic foreign governments to see that terrorism is still a major threat to the security of the U.S. and the world. But what are we doing to counter this threat? Killing terrorists?

One need only look at this week’s mess between the Palestinians and the Israelis for a perfect example of what not to do in order to make your nation safer and strong in the 21st century. Israel, by boarding the six ships that attempted to run their blockade and deliver humanitarian supplies to Gaza, won the battle but may have losing the war.  Slate sums it up nicely:

Here is how Hamas’ interests have been served so far:

  • Under severe pressure, Egypt, which has blockaded Gaza by land for its own political reasons, has opened its borders (at least for now), a move that is likely to facilitate more weapons shipments than the most extreme estimates of potential smuggling from the Mavi Marmara would have supplied.
  • Turkey, the only predominantly Muslim country that regards Israel as an ally, has recalled its ambassador from Tel Aviv amid massive anti-Israeli protests in the streets of Istanbul.
  • Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who was on his way to Washington to discuss the resumption of Palestinian peace talks with President Barack Obama, had to go home (for obvious reasons), and the prospect for renewed diplomacy—which had gained much support in the region—has, to say the least, diminished.
  • The case for tighter sanctions against Iran, to the extent that they involve sympathy with Israel’s security concerns, has been dealt a setback, just as the U.N. nuclear agency has announced that Iran has enough fuel to build two A-bombs (though the fuel still needs to be enriched).
  • The U.N. Security Council has condemned Israel’s actions, and countless aid groups, including no doubt several that are hostile to Israel, are sailing toward Gaza, as if to dare the Israelis to fire on them too and, in any case, to deal another blow against the legitimacy of the blockade.

In sum, in order to keep one ship from delivering aid directly to Hamas—and, as Ha’aretzput it, choosing “the worst of all possible options” to do so—Israel has plunged itself into the deepest state of isolation that it’s experienced in years.

I wonder how many Israelis are safer now? I wonder how many of them are happy that their military so forcefully defended their country by enforcing this blockade? Was it worth the price of losing international support, further enraging the Palestinians, and inspiring hundreds, or maybe thousands, of others to run the blockade, fire another rocket, or maybe commit another suicide bombing?

In Iraq, the United States quickly saw that the best way to turn the situation around was to limit military actions that might result in the killing of civilians, stop torturing prisoners, and start listening to the needs of the people. Things in Iraq are far from perfect, but it is hard to compare the country now to what it was like for years after the 2003 invasion. We learned that in Iraq, like Somalia and Vietnam before it, we could not kill our way into victory. Neither can Israel.

But doesn’t Israel have the right to defend itself from rocket attacks? Isn’t that why the blockade is there in the first place? Yes, but do we remember why the Palestinians are so angry?

Economic comparison - Israel vs. West Bank Palestinians

Economic comparison - Israel vs. West Bank Palestinians

The data speaks for itself. The data for the Gaza strip was unavailable, probably a combination of Israel controlling the press inside the country and the numbers being too low to count.

Time to Evolve the Role of Foreign Policy

It is no longer in the interest of superpowers to continue to expand their cultural, military, and economic strength along traditional models, as they produce disparity, which in turn creates conflict.  Instead, the world powers will benefit from stability and growing parity both domestically and in the developing world.  The powers of the world also need to focus on sustainability, in the economy, and in the environment.

As technology, wealth disparity, and global warming collide in the 21st century, the old model of the strength of statehood has become outdated. It is time for equality, environmentalism, and social justice to become the ends of power, else their lack become the end of it.


Posted in Featured, Foreign Policy, Media, Middle East, Politics

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  • http://www.dissectednews.com/ Dissected News

    Here is a comment a friend of mine left for me:

    Flotilla Rioters Prepare Rods, Slingshots, Broken Bottles and Metal Objects to Attack IDF Soldiers

    From the security cameras aboard the Mavi Marmara: the passengers of the Gaza flotilla are seen here preparing for confrontation with the IDF soldiers. The rioters put on gas masks and arm themselves with rods, slingshots, broken bottles, metal objects, and water hoses. …

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HZlSSaPT_OU&feature=player_embedded

    Here is my response:

    Thanks for the link. It’s very interesting, because there are other videos that show something very different. The ongoing discussion and liveblog on the Gaza situation on Enduring America is pretty comprehensive.

    My point was that it doesn’t matter. The British soldiers were provoked into firing into the crowd during the Boston Massacre. Arguably, the National Guard was provoked before firing into the student body of Kent State. The story is the same: Well armed soldiers confronting large groups of (arguably) justifiably angry crowds, enforcing badly managed policy in order to defend controversial decisions made by powerful people. Who was right? Who was wrong? Who started it? Irrelevant. Who wins the PR war, and what is the fall out? Those are the more important questions.

    Israel’s policies in Gaza are an abject failure. The rocket attacks continue, as does the suffering of the Palestinians. Worse yet, Egypt has basically opened the border for Hamas, and Turkey will likely refuse to cooperate with the Netanyahu administration. With Hamas in power and Israel pursuing failed policy, who is left to take the moral high ground?

  • James the Hype

    Here is a comment a friend of mine left for me:

    Flotilla Rioters Prepare Rods, Slingshots, Broken Bottles and Metal Objects to Attack IDF Soldiers

    From the security cameras aboard the Mavi Marmara: the passengers of the Gaza flotilla are seen here preparing for confrontation with the IDF soldiers. The rioters put on gas masks and arm themselves with rods, slingshots, broken bottles, metal objects, and water hoses. …

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HZlSSaPT_OU&feature=player_embedded

    Here is my response:

    Thanks for the link. It’s very interesting, because there are other videos that show something very different. The ongoing discussion and liveblog on the Gaza situation on Enduring America is pretty comprehensive.

    My point was that it doesn’t matter. The British soldiers were provoked into firing into the crowd during the Boston Massacre. Arguably, the National Guard was provoked before firing into the student body of Kent State. The story is the same: Well armed soldiers confronting large groups of (arguably) justifiably angry crowds, enforcing badly managed policy in order to defend controversial decisions made by powerful people. Who was right? Who was wrong? Who started it? Irrelevant. Who wins the PR war, and what is the fall out? Those are the more important questions.

    Israel’s policies in Gaza are an abject failure. The rocket attacks continue, as does the suffering of the Palestinians. Worse yet, Egypt has basically opened the border for Hamas, and Turkey will likely refuse to cooperate with the Netanyahu administration. With Hamas in power and Israel pursuing failed policy, who is left to take the moral high ground?

  • spcfish

    The most pernicious thing President Bush did, in my opinion, is so firmly entrenching the belief that “they hate us because they hate our freedom.” As long as we- and by extension, the Israelis- refuse to face the actual reasons we are hated, we will never end this conflict.

  • spcfish

    The most pernicious thing President Bush did, in my opinion, is so firmly entrenching the belief that “they hate us because they hate our freedom.” As long as we- and by extension, the Israelis- refuse to face the actual reasons we are hated, we will never end this conflict.

  • http://www.dissectednews.com/ Dissected News

    I agree, First Lieutenant Fish, and thanks for stopping by, friend! I think that oversimplifying our foreign policy to “G.I. Joe vs. Cobra” really blew it. It’s just bad strategy to assume that we can kill an ideology with a gun. It’s also wrong to assume that every member of a terrorist group is this super informed, highly educated, ultra sophisticated, ultimately devout radical Islamist. Most of the people we’ve been fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan were unemployed people pissed at their economic situation and happy that somebody was going to pay them to kill Americans.

    Israel has legitimate security concerns in Gaza. I remember watching the news when I was growing up, and I remember how painful it was to see restaurants blown up by Islamic militants. I’ve heard the stories of whole sections of Israel that are bombarded daily. And I’m not picking sides in the “who shot first” debate, either. Does it matter? It didn’t matter that the British soldiers were provoked into firing at the Boston Massacre. It didn’t matter that students threw stones at the National Guard during Kent State. Did it matter that the Vietcong were decimated during the Tet offensive in Vietnam?

    Nope. Sun Tzu would not approve. Just winning battles doesn’t win the war, and Israel needs a good strategy to relieve the tensions in Gaza.

  • James the Hype

    I agree, First Lieutenant Fish, and thanks for stopping by, friend! I think that oversimplifying our foreign policy to “G.I. Joe vs. Cobra” really blew it. It’s just bad strategy to assume that we can kill an ideology with a gun. It’s also wrong to assume that every member of a terrorist group is this super informed, highly educated, ultra sophisticated, ultimately devout radical Islamist. Most of the people we’ve been fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan were unemployed people pissed at their economic situation and happy that somebody was going to pay them to kill Americans.

    Israel has legitimate security concerns in Gaza. I remember watching the news when I was growing up, and I remember how painful it was to see restaurants blown up by Islamic militants. I’ve heard the stories of whole sections of Israel that are bombarded daily. And I’m not picking sides in the “who shot first” debate, either. Does it matter? It didn’t matter that the British soldiers were provoked into firing at the Boston Massacre. It didn’t matter that students threw stones at the National Guard during Kent State. Did it matter that the Vietcong were decimated during the Tet offensive in Vietnam?

    Nope. Sun Tzu would not approve. Just winning battles doesn’t win the war, and Israel needs a good strategy to relieve the tensions in Gaza.

  • spcfish

    “It’s also wrong to assume that every member of a terrorist group is this super informed, highly educated, ultra sophisticated, ultimately devout radical Islamist. Most of the people we’ve been fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan were unemployed people pissed at their economic situation and happy that somebody was going to pay them to kill Americans.”

    Realizing that was the key to turning the corner in Iraq. The typical IED triggerman or guy spraying an AK at a convoy isn’t some militant jihadi; he’s some unemployed schmuck collecting a paycheck from the militant jihadis. So long as we were trying to kill all our enemies, we were losing. Buying them off worked better, and then the actual jihadis couldn’t insulate themselves.

    Part of the problem- and I can say this openly here because my last name is also the name of a fish, but not actually the word ‘fish-’ is that a lot of senior officers and NCOs have a hard time grasping that. The military naturally has a culture focused on using violence to solve problems. Too many IEDs? Send out more kill teams, kill more people placing them. But that just goes in circles. The Israelis have been moving in those circles for half a century.

  • spcfish

    “It’s also wrong to assume that every member of a terrorist group is this super informed, highly educated, ultra sophisticated, ultimately devout radical Islamist. Most of the people we’ve been fighting in Iraq and Afghanistan were unemployed people pissed at their economic situation and happy that somebody was going to pay them to kill Americans.”

    Realizing that was the key to turning the corner in Iraq. The typical IED triggerman or guy spraying an AK at a convoy isn’t some militant jihadi; he’s some unemployed schmuck collecting a paycheck from the militant jihadis. So long as we were trying to kill all our enemies, we were losing. Buying them off worked better, and then the actual jihadis couldn’t insulate themselves.

    Part of the problem- and I can say this openly here because my last name is also the name of a fish, but not actually the word ‘fish-’ is that a lot of senior officers and NCOs have a hard time grasping that. The military naturally has a culture focused on using violence to solve problems. Too many IEDs? Send out more kill teams, kill more people placing them. But that just goes in circles. The Israelis have been moving in those circles for half a century.

  • http://www.dissectednews.com/ Dissected News

    There were some really interesting discussions on the “Wikileaks” article that made me realize that the two stories are linked. They are both stories about soldiers, put into circumstances that they probably shouldn't have been in, and having to face the consequences of political decisions. And people died.

    Check out the great article by my friend Foxhound6, and the comments: http://www.dissectednews.com/2010/04/wikileaks-…

  • http://www.dissectednews.com/2010/08/kurds-and-the-way-to-peace.html Kurds and the Way to Peace – A Quiet War in Northern Iraq | Dissected News

    [...] Special Coverage: Raid of Gaza Flotilla – Time to Evolve Foreign Policy in the Middle East [...]

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